National Bank Open: Rafael Jodar vs Lorenzo Musetti Predictions

National Bank Open 2026: Jodar–Musetti Match Odds and Set Betting

The National Bank Open features a head-to-head between Rafael Jodar and Lorenzo Musetti, with multiple betting angles across sets and match outcome. Prediction markets on Polymarket are pricing the match winner at 100% implied probability, while set-by-set and over-under game-length markets offer traders finer-grained exposure to how the match unfolds.

What the Market Prices Reveal About Set Duration and Match Length

The crowd is pricing Set 1 over/under 8.5 games at 100% implied, the highest conviction across all outcomes. Match total games (O/U 21.5) sits at 56% implied, suggesting moderate expectation for rally length. Set 2 game-count markets cluster tightly—O/U 8.5, 9.5, and 10.5 all around 51% implied—indicating genuine uncertainty about second-set pacing once the opening set resolves.

How Jodar and Musetti's Playing Style Could Shift These Numbers

Early-match momentum and serve efficiency will likely be key. If the first set runs long and pushes above 8.5 games, traders may reassess the match total and recalibrate set-length expectations downward. Conversely, a quick opening set could tighten the match-total market and suggest faster Set 2 play. The relatively tight clustering of Set 2 odds leaves room for sharp late movement as the opening set concludes.

More: read our Polymarket review, compare the best prediction market apps, or bet on sports with a US sportsbook.