New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians Predictions

Will the Mets and Guardians Play Over 7.5 Runs in Their Aug 12, 2026 Matchup?

This Polymarket prediction market lets bettors weigh in on whether the New York Mets and Cleveland Guardians will combine for more than 7.5 total runs when they meet on Aug 12, 2026. The market also offers granular early-inning props, letting traders focus on just the first five innings of play—a common edge point in baseball wagering.

What the Current Odds Imply About Mets-Guardians Run Totals

The crowd is pricing the O/U 7.5 at 100% implied probability, suggesting a near coin-flip view of whether this contest will be a slugfest or a pitcher's duel. First-inning action looks slightly more bullish: traders are giving 1st 5 Innings O/U 2.5 a 100% probability, compared to 100% for the 3.5 threshold and 100% for 4.5. The moneyline favors neither team decisively, with the Mets priced at 100%.

Which Bets Could Shift as Game Time Approaches

The NRFI (No Run First Inning) prop sits at 100%, reflecting baseline expectations for early runs. If lineup news or weather breaks before first pitch on Aug 12, 2026, early-inning markets—particularly the 1st 5 Innings O/U thresholds—will likely move first. Starting pitcher health and bullpen availability remain the clearest catalysts for repricing across all Polymarket outcomes.

More: read our Polymarket review, compare the best prediction market apps, or bet on sports with a US sportsbook.