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PolymarketResolvedCloses Aug 13, 2026Sports

New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians Predictions

Polymarket9 outcomesVolume $700K
1
O/U 16.5 Most likely
100%
2
O/U 17.5
100%
3
O/U 18.5
100%
4
Spread -5.5
100%
5
Spread -6.5
100%
6
Spread -7.5
1%
+3 more outcomes

Will the Mets and Guardians Play High-Scoring Baseball in Aug 13, 2026?

This prediction market on Polymarket asks traders to forecast total runs in the New York Mets versus Cleveland Guardians matchup. The board covers the full-game Over/Under at several thresholds—from 6.5 runs up to 8.5—as well as first-five-innings scoring. The market closes Aug 13, 2026, giving bettors time to weigh lineup strength, bullpen depth, and ballpark conditions.

Market-Implied Odds Suggest Mets-Guardians Scores Under 8.5 Runs

The crowd is pricing a moderate-scoring affair. Over/Under 6.5 sits at 100% implied probability, while 7.5 runs is priced at 100%. The full-game 8.5 total and the first-five-innings 4.5 bar both show 100% conviction. No Runs First Inning (NRFI) trades at 100%, indicating traders expect early action. The straightup Mets-Guardians line reflects 100% probability, suggesting a competitive contest.

What Could Shift Mets vs. Guardians Run Totals

Lineup changes, injuries to key hitters, or bullpen availability could move these prices. Early-innings market action often reacts to weather, field conditions, and starting pitcher durability. The first-five-innings 2.5 total is priced highest at 100%, implying traders expect runs early; conversely, 3.5 and 4.5 thresholds decline to 100% and 100%, suggesting diminishing conviction as the count rises. Monitor game-day news close to Aug 13, 2026 for shifts in market sentiment.

QuestionNew York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians
TypeMulti-outcome
Total volume$700K
ClosesAug 13, 2026
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